The Covid thread

[fazersharp]

Yes and that can only be properly done after a whole year. Maybe April.

Why? Unless, in the unlikely event, we are expecting a dramatic fall off in deaths between now and April.

Yes that is exactly it. My feeling is that many of those that died in the early stages were going to die anyway perhaps in this winter which is why the death rate early on was high and I predict which is why the death rate for the whole year will show little if even no increase.
I also predict that any full year low death count will be put down to a vaccine and lock down.
On the vaccine I heard someone had done some math and at the current rate needing 2 shots it would take 2.5 years to vaccine the amount of people needed to suppress it to a point where it was not a threat.