Today's "What Gets My Goat" - NO POLITICS!

[darrsi]

Second wave imminent.

Maybe yes, but what impact will it have?

I've been looking at the stats on worldometer.

Firstly new cases.  Remember all countries are most likely doing much more testing, and better testing, than they were back in march.  So we will see more cases, so its difficult to compare with march and april.

I just looked at a few Euro countries, you know countries that are similar (ish) to us.  Spain shows the biggest spike.  The number of cases they are detecting each day looks worrysome.

But then back in march they had almost 1000 deaths a day at one point.  The last few days they have ranged between 15 and 184. 
There is a clear delay between infection increase and recorded deaths.  Spain is worth watching.  The thing that really counts over the next few weeks/couple of months, is hospital admissions and deaths. 


Bear in mind in Scotland, around half our deaths were in care homes.  That was a fuck up.  That shouldn't happen again.  I think the same mistake was made in England.

It is probably the right thing to do to be cautious at this time, but could it be that this virus, for whatever reason has lost its bite?  Lets hope so.

Of course my worry is that we won't learn the lessons.  The world needs to figure out how it can minimise the possibility of another pandemic.
 
And oh to be young and foolish again. :\

India has some very serious figures right now.
Averaging 95,000 Positive tests a DAY, and in the last 3 days there have been 1000, 1100 & 1200+ deaths, so is still rising rapidly.
Obviously they have a massive population in comparison, but their curve is skyrocketing.