BREXIT

[VNA]

Its all well and good predicting things on the night whilst watching the results come in, but I correctly predicted the EU vote result 2 years before it actually happened. And even before a vote was even announced.

Well OK, 2014, I knew from the start it was very unlikely.  I did not expect a win.  Like I say, to me, 45% felt like something of a victory, a well earnt result.


2016.  It should have been OK.  But I always had a bad feeling.  If you like, my brain was telling me that there was nothing to worry about, but I had this sick feeling in the pit of my stomach

Calling it on the night before the first results come in is what counts.  Campaigns are hugely important. 



Some polls had us down at 25% in 2014.  Some in Better Together couldn't wait to get out there and start their campaign - they talked of ‘mopping up the wounded’ and consigning talk of Scottish Independence to history.  With 4 weeks to go they were shitting themselves and almost lost it.


2016, and the mainstream political players ran a similar campaign to what they ran in 2014 in Scotland.  Fear, fear, fear and more fear. They had learned nothing from 2014, and this time they lost it.


The two things that really bothered me about 2016 was the shit REMAIN campaign.  A crap campaign whilst LEAVE was left to peddle their fantasy.  At least a fantasy is positive.  That and Corbyn’s 7/10 = I mean for Focs sake. 



So you can guess 2 years out, but you can’t call it.  So yeah your guess was correct Fazersharp.